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This week's headlines have touted new discoveries purporting to solve two of
the Top 10 astronomical mysteries that I wrote about in my book, On the Cosmic
Horizon. As I will describe below, the headlines are probably correct concerning
a solution to Mystery #9. In a follow-up e-mail to come shortly, I'll explain
why the cover of Time magazine (June 25, 2001), overstates the case in claiming
that "scientists have just solved the biggest mystery in the cosmos" ---and
not only because they're talking about Mystery #3 as opposed to #1!
Let's start with the new headlines relating to Mystery #9, "Where are the
Sun's Neutrinos?" Of course, the best way to understand the headlines is to
read the Mystery in On the Cosmic Horizon; after all, the reason I wrote the
book was to help you understand the astronomy headlines. But for those of you
who are stilled filled with anticipation as you wait to find time for reading
the whole book, hereีs a synopsis:
In brief, Mystery #9 concerns the fact that theoretical models of how the Sun
shines tell us that the Sun should be emitting prodigious numbers of tiny particles
called neutrinos --- so many that about 1,000 trillion neutrinos will pass through
your body while you read this sentence. Until now, however, special observatories
built to detect these neutrinos were finding only about one-third to one-half
as many neutrinos as theory predicted. This might have meant that our ideas
about how the Sun shines were wrong, but most scientists have hoped there was
an alternative explanation with the neutrinos themselves: namely, that some
of the Sun's neutrinos could "hide" by changing into other types of neutrinos
that made them undetectable by standard detectors. The new headlines are based
on first results from the Sudbury Neutrino Observatory (SNO) in Canada, combined
with previous results from Japan's "Super-K" neutrino detector, which appear
to confirm this explanation. Of course, the results won't be considered definitive
until we have several more years of consistent data. But if they hold up, we
now have the answer to Mystery #9's question: the Sun's neutrinos were there
all along, they were just hiding from our earlier detectors.
Assuming the Mystery is solved, what does it all mean? Here's a brief list
of the most significant implications, in order (in my opinion):
1. The fact that observations of solar neutrinos now agree with the theoretical
predictions represents extremely strong evidence that we really do understand
how the Sun shines. In other words, we can have great confidence that we understand
the nuclear reactions taking place deep within the core of the Sun --- and by
extension, that we also understand the nuclear processes that occur in other
stars.
2. Because the solution confirms that neutrinos can change type, we have further
evidence that neutrinos must have mass (for prior evidence, see Mystery #9).
This means that the "standard model of physics" cannot be complete as it stands,
and therefore that physicists have a lot more work to do before we can truly
claim to understand the nature of matter. On the more positive side, the new
data also appear to rule out the disconcerting possibility of "sterile" neutrinos
(also discussed in the book), which had been raised by previous experiments.
3. The fact that neutrinos have mass also means that they must represent at
least some fraction of the mysterious dark matter that dominates the mass of
the universe (see Mystery #2). However, the results to date also suggest that
the neutrino mass is extremely small, making it highly unlikely that they represent
a very significant fraction of the dark matter.
For more background and information on this exciting discovery, I encourage
you to read Mystery #9; aside from the "punch line" of the mystery being resolved,
it remains accurate. To read more on the discovery itself, go to http://www.sno.phy.queensu.ca/sno/first_results.
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